Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.983766 1.148163 1.331222 1.550147 1.804860 2.091901 2.440018
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.709207 0.924266 1.190831 1.545444 2.004955 2.580596 3.357241
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.568478 0.801375 1.112902 1.559923 2.185219 3.029577 4.258206
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.454827 0.683515 1.008979 1.505687 2.245069 3.306230 4.948108
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.413209 0.656156 1.020879 1.607838 2.529590 3.923648 6.197512
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.347259 0.579409 0.945027 1.562126 2.578843 4.190438 6.946457
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.293647 0.512628 0.872932 1.508102 2.601445 4.410331 7.640141
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.251671 0.458154 0.811946 1.461275 2.625228 4.628740 8.351727
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.228652 0.432838 0.796160 1.488496 2.777296 5.079036 9.518122
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.218890 0.429849 0.818769 1.586467 3.067089 5.804440 11.270816
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.203629 0.414095 0.815415 1.634602 3.268648 6.390562 12.834793
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.186492 0.392113 0.797025 1.650438 3.408369 6.873914 14.257056
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.167828 0.364984 0.766074 1.639242 3.497254 7.277922 15.593569
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.151624 0.340821 0.738181 1.631074 3.592401 7.708766 17.049719
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.139472 0.323623 0.722405 1.646186 3.738239 8.261381 18.837434
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.123032 0.294417 0.676743 1.588959 3.716892 8.452099 19.850267
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.120585 0.297160 0.702362 1.696728 4.082560 9.539156 23.041635
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.107686 0.273151 0.663564 1.648502 4.078059 9.786311 24.300140
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.095782 0.249878 0.623429 1.591506 4.044602 9.960904 25.405618
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.085700 0.229768 0.588312 1.542103 4.023032 10.160446 26.598060
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.080836 0.222519 0.584178 1.570821 4.202737 10.875107 29.192172
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.079991 0.225872 0.607475 1.674181 4.589773 12.158066 33.435511
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.076619 0.221834 0.610943 1.724964 4.843551 13.128830 36.973316